Probability · Bayes theorem
A letter is known to have arrived by post either from KANPUR or from ANANTPUR. On the envelope just two consecutive letters AN are visible. The probability, that the letter came from ANANTPUR, is:
- (1)
- (2)
- (3)
- (4)
We corrected a printing error in the original paper
Source printed “On the the envelope” (doubled word).
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See the full 5 Apr 2026, Shift 1 paper
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